Per Pro Football Reference, home playoff underdogs of four or more points are 10-0 vs. the spread over the last 50 years. The Patriots aren’t playing against history, obviously, but I do think the Broncos’ defense can keep it close. And Stidham will be rusty, obviously, but he can’t be worse than C.J. Stroud was last week.

Taking the team that is the largest favorite according to Vegas has to give some reassurance. That’s exactly what the Ravens are this week as they host the Houston Texans to start the season. The Ravens have a new offensive coordinator and with that ...